--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/tjrider76/Dropbox/AR_theorytest/ISQ Replication/Rider2013ISQ
> -Table1-3_Logfile.log
  log type:  text
 opened on:  24 May 2012, 09:53:11

. do "/var/folders/6x/9tbs_scj51d8ksw4hxlgxkgc0000gn/T//SD06239.000000"

. /*Replication file for Rider 2013 ISQ,
> "Uncertainty, Salient Stakes and the Causes of Conventional Arms Races"*/
. 
. 
. /*Replication code for estimating Models 1-3 in Table 1 and generating predict
> ed probabilities*/
. /*Use dta file "Rider2013ISQ_Table1Replication"*/
. /*Table 1:  Politically Relevant dyads-years, Klein et al. rivalry and Huth an
> d Allee territorial claims*/
. 
. /*Table 1, Model 1*/
. probit arOnset KGDongoing jtpolity jtally caprat landcontig peaceyrs _prefail 
> _spline1 _spline2 _spline3 if ar_drop==0, nolog

Probit regression                                 Number of obs   =      43138
                                                  LR chi2(10)     =     393.79
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log likelihood = -2968.3102                       Pseudo R2       =     0.0622

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     arOnset |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
  KGDongoing |   .1527614   .0556433     2.75   0.006     .0437025    .2618202
    jtpolity |  -.3856689   .0632132    -6.10   0.000    -.5095646   -.2617733
      jtally |   .1324978    .042479     3.12   0.002     .0492405     .215755
      caprat |   .3913419   .0724169     5.40   0.000     .2494074    .5332763
  landcontig |   .1922394   .0430512     4.47   0.000     .1078606    .2766183
    peaceyrs |    -.02043   .0131136    -1.56   0.119    -.0461322    .0052723
    _prefail |  -.1600586   .0297139    -5.39   0.000    -.2182969   -.1018204
    _spline1 |  -.0003926    .000156    -2.52   0.012    -.0006984   -.0000869
    _spline2 |   .0003181   .0000927     3.43   0.001     .0001363    .0004999
    _spline3 |  -.0001005   .0000203    -4.95   0.000    -.0001402   -.0000607
       _cons |  -1.969024   .0606854   -32.45   0.000    -2.087965   -1.850083
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. /*Table 1, Model 2*/
. probit arOnset ha_claim jtpolity jtally caprat landcontig peaceyrs _prefail _s
> pline1 _spline2 _spline3 if ar_drop==0, nolog

Probit regression                                 Number of obs   =      43138
                                                  LR chi2(10)     =     391.12
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log likelihood = -2969.6473                       Pseudo R2       =     0.0618

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     arOnset |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    ha_claim |   .1266207   .0581989     2.18   0.030     .0125529    .2406885
    jtpolity |   -.395363   .0630895    -6.27   0.000    -.5190161   -.2717099
      jtally |   .1250677   .0424126     2.95   0.003     .0419406    .2081948
      caprat |    .407229   .0720481     5.65   0.000     .2660174    .5484406
  landcontig |   .1928066   .0434205     4.44   0.000      .107704    .2779092
    peaceyrs |  -.0189187   .0131079    -1.44   0.149    -.0446096    .0067722
    _prefail |  -.1535659   .0294836    -5.21   0.000    -.2113527   -.0957791
    _spline1 |  -.0003844   .0001559    -2.47   0.014      -.00069   -.0000789
    _spline2 |   .0003156   .0000927     3.40   0.001      .000134    .0004973
    _spline3 |   -.000101   .0000203    -4.98   0.000    -.0001408   -.0000612
       _cons |  -1.973125   .0607831   -32.46   0.000    -2.092258   -1.853993
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. /*Table 1, Model 3*/
. probit arOnset KGDongoing ha_claim KGDrivXha jtpolity jtally caprat landcontig
>  peaceyrs _prefail _spline1 _spline2 _spline3 if ar_drop==0, nolog

Probit regression                                 Number of obs   =      43138
                                                  LR chi2(12)     =     399.86
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log likelihood = -2965.2756                       Pseudo R2       =     0.0632

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     arOnset |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
  KGDongoing |   .0548051    .070988     0.77   0.440    -.0843287     .193939
    ha_claim |   -.003394    .079072    -0.04   0.966    -.1583722    .1515843
   KGDrivXha |   .2546319   .1275943     2.00   0.046     .0045518    .5047121
    jtpolity |  -.3872319   .0632774    -6.12   0.000    -.5112533   -.2632104
      jtally |   .1344555   .0425451     3.16   0.002     .0510687    .2178422
      caprat |   .3952411   .0725216     5.45   0.000     .2531014    .5373809
  landcontig |   .1843625   .0439408     4.20   0.000     .0982401    .2704848
    peaceyrs |  -.0201498   .0131308    -1.53   0.125    -.0458857    .0055861
    _prefail |  -.1604693   .0297568    -5.39   0.000    -.2187915   -.1021471
    _spline1 |  -.0003943   .0001561    -2.53   0.012    -.0007003   -.0000883
    _spline2 |     .00032   .0000928     3.45   0.001     .0001381    .0005019
    _spline3 |  -.0001012   .0000203    -4.98   0.000     -.000141   -.0000614
       _cons |  -1.970045   .0608423   -32.38   0.000    -2.089294   -1.850796
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. /*Table 1, Model 3, Predicted Probabilities*/
. quietly probit arOnset KGDongoing ha_claim KGDrivXha jtpolity jtally caprat la
> ndcontig peaceyrs _prefail _spline1 _spline2 _spline3 if ar_drop==0, nolog

. prvalue, x(KGDrivXha 0 ha_claim 0 KGDongoing 0 jtpolity mean jtally 0 caprat m
> ean landcontig 0)

probit: Predictions for arOnset

Confidence intervals by delta method

                                95% Conf. Interval
  Pr(y=1|x):          0.0082   [ 0.0071,    0.0093]
  Pr(y=0|x):          0.9918   [ 0.9907,    0.9929]

    KGDongoing    ha_claim   KGDrivXha    jtpolity      jtally      caprat
x=           0           0           0   .49793077           0   .15423529

    landcontig    peaceyrs    _prefail    _spline1    _spline2    _spline3
x=           0   21.499513   .35203301  -9141.7041  -16557.208  -18623.089

. prvalue, x(KGDrivXha 0 ha_claim 1 KGDongoing 0 jtpolity mean jtally 0 caprat m
> ean landcontig 0)

probit: Predictions for arOnset

Confidence intervals by delta method

                                95% Conf. Interval
  Pr(y=1|x):          0.0081   [ 0.0046,    0.0116]
  Pr(y=0|x):          0.9919   [ 0.9884,    0.9954]

    KGDongoing    ha_claim   KGDrivXha    jtpolity      jtally      caprat
x=           0           1           0   .49793077           0   .15423529

    landcontig    peaceyrs    _prefail    _spline1    _spline2    _spline3
x=           0   21.499513   .35203301  -9141.7041  -16557.208  -18623.089

. prvalue, x(KGDrivXha 0 ha_claim 0 KGDongoing 1 jtpolity mean jtally 0 caprat m
> ean landcontig 0)

probit: Predictions for arOnset

Confidence intervals by delta method

                                95% Conf. Interval
  Pr(y=1|x):          0.0095   [ 0.0059,    0.0131]
  Pr(y=0|x):          0.9905   [ 0.9869,    0.9941]

    KGDongoing    ha_claim   KGDrivXha    jtpolity      jtally      caprat
x=           1           0           0   .49793077           0   .15423529

    landcontig    peaceyrs    _prefail    _spline1    _spline2    _spline3
x=           0   21.499513   .35203301  -9141.7041  -16557.208  -18623.089

. prvalue, x(KGDrivXha 1 ha_claim 1 KGDongoing 1 jtpolity mean jtally 0 caprat m
> ean landcontig 0)

probit: Predictions for arOnset

Confidence intervals by delta method

                                95% Conf. Interval
  Pr(y=1|x):          0.0181   [ 0.0109,    0.0253]
  Pr(y=0|x):          0.9819   [ 0.9747,    0.9891]

    KGDongoing    ha_claim   KGDrivXha    jtpolity      jtally      caprat
x=           1           1           1   .49793077           0   .15423529

    landcontig    peaceyrs    _prefail    _spline1    _spline2    _spline3
x=           0   21.499513   .35203301  -9141.7041  -16557.208  -18623.089

. 
. 
end of do-file

. log off
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/tjrider76/Dropbox/AR_theorytest/ISQ Replication/Rider2013ISQ
> -Table1-3_Logfile.log
  log type:  text
 paused on:  24 May 2012, 09:53:31
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/tjrider76/Dropbox/AR_theorytest/ISQ Replication/Rider2013ISQ
> -Table1-3_Logfile.log
  log type:  text
resumed on:  24 May 2012, 09:53:47

. do "/var/folders/6x/9tbs_scj51d8ksw4hxlgxkgc0000gn/T//SD06239.000000"

. /*Replication code for estimating Models 4-6 in Table 2 and generating predict
> ed probabilities*/
. /*Use dta file "Rider2013ISQ_Table2Replication" */
. /*Table 2:  Klein et al. Rivalry dyad-years, Huth & Allee Territorial Claims a
> nd MID Revision Type */
. 
. /*Table 2, Model 4*/
. probit arOnset ha_claim jtpolity jtally caprat landcontig peaceyrs _prefail _s
> pline1 _spline2 _spline3 if ar_drop==0, nolog

Probit regression                                 Number of obs   =       2926
                                                  LR chi2(10)     =      58.22
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log likelihood = -323.34559                       Pseudo R2       =     0.0826

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     arOnset |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    ha_claim |   .3493315   .1086961     3.21   0.001     .1362911     .562372
    jtpolity |  -.3147365   .2327849    -1.35   0.176    -.7709866    .1415135
      jtally |   .2364356   .1130644     2.09   0.037     .0148334    .4580377
      caprat |   .6169472   .1882385     3.28   0.001     .2480066    .9858878
  landcontig |   .0699714   .1214965     0.58   0.565    -.1681574    .3081001
    peaceyrs |   .0190018   .0783127     0.24   0.808    -.1344883     .172492
    _prefail |  -.3009709   .0956698    -3.15   0.002    -.4884803   -.1134615
    _spline1 |  -.0019392   .0028902    -0.67   0.502    -.0076038    .0037254
    _spline2 |   .0014788   .0014317     1.03   0.302    -.0013273    .0042849
    _spline3 |  -.0003711    .000201    -1.85   0.065    -.0007651    .0000229
       _cons |  -2.320531   .2218097   -10.46   0.000     -2.75527   -1.885792
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. /*Table 2, Model 5*/
. probit arOnset terr_5 policy_5 regime_5 other_5 norev_5 jtpolity jtally caprat
>  landcontig peaceyrs _prefail _spline1 _spline2 _spline3 if ar_drop==0, nolog

Probit regression                                 Number of obs   =       2926
                                                  LR chi2(14)     =      59.85
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log likelihood = -322.53067                       Pseudo R2       =     0.0849

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     arOnset |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
      terr_5 |   .2533511   .1233622     2.05   0.040     .0115656    .4951366
    policy_5 |  -.2503899   .1269828    -1.97   0.049    -.4992717   -.0015082
    regime_5 |   -.268288    .263308    -1.02   0.308    -.7843622    .2477862
     other_5 |  -.0139547   .4448539    -0.03   0.975    -.8858523     .857943
     norev_5 |   .0508616   .1521143     0.33   0.738     -.247277    .3490001
    jtpolity |  -.3837086   .2382944    -1.61   0.107    -.8507571    .0833398
      jtally |   .2425488   .1138449     2.13   0.033     .0194169    .4656808
      caprat |    .567125   .1904141     2.98   0.003     .1939202    .9403299
  landcontig |   .0814225   .1233542     0.66   0.509    -.1603472    .3231922
    peaceyrs |   .0251483   .0780444     0.32   0.747    -.1278159    .1781125
    _prefail |  -.2905761   .0954548    -3.04   0.002    -.4776641   -.1034881
    _spline1 |  -.0016867   .0028927    -0.58   0.560    -.0073563    .0039829
    _spline2 |   .0013396   .0014374     0.93   0.351    -.0014776    .0041569
    _spline3 |  -.0003477   .0002041    -1.70   0.088    -.0007476    .0000523
       _cons |  -2.166964    .223622    -9.69   0.000    -2.605255   -1.728673
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. /*Table 2, Model 6*/
. probit arOnset ha_claim terr_5 policy_5 regime_5 other_5 norev_5 claimXterrmid
> 5  jtpolity jtally caprat landcontig peaceyrs _prefail _spline1 _spline2 _spli
> ne3 if ar_drop==0, nolog

Probit regression                                 Number of obs   =       2926
                                                  LR chi2(16)     =      69.89
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log likelihood = -317.50832                       Pseudo R2       =     0.0992

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      arOnset |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     ha_claim |   .1473023   .1433045     1.03   0.304    -.1335694     .428174
       terr_5 |  -.1618972   .2268426    -0.71   0.475    -.6065005    .2827061
     policy_5 |  -.2303735   .1279681    -1.80   0.072    -.4811863    .0204393
     regime_5 |  -.2789779   .2656667    -1.05   0.294    -.7996751    .2417193
      other_5 |      .0282   .4481348     0.06   0.950    -.8501281     .906528
      norev_5 |   .1069068   .1548581     0.69   0.490    -.1966094    .4104231
claimXterrm~5 |   .5214151   .2778405     1.88   0.061    -.0231423    1.065972
     jtpolity |  -.3720762   .2443172    -1.52   0.128    -.8509292    .1067768
       jtally |   .2730906   .1158277     2.36   0.018     .0460725    .5001087
       caprat |   .6169654   .1930582     3.20   0.001     .2385783    .9953526
   landcontig |   .0250551   .1270274     0.20   0.844     -.223914    .2740242
     peaceyrs |   .0228897   .0794578     0.29   0.773    -.1328448    .1786242
     _prefail |  -.3236292   .0976275    -3.31   0.001    -.5149755   -.1322828
     _spline1 |  -.0019445   .0029371    -0.66   0.508    -.0077011    .0038122
     _spline2 |   .0014856   .0014581     1.02   0.308    -.0013722    .0043434
     _spline3 |  -.0003707   .0002066    -1.79   0.073    -.0007755    .0000341
        _cons |  -2.224641   .2314663    -9.61   0.000    -2.678306   -1.770975
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. /*Table 2, Model 6, Predicted Probabilities*/
. quietly: probit arOnset claimXterrmid5 ha_claim terr_5 policy_5 regime_5 other
> _5 norev_5 jtpolity jtally caprat landcontig peaceyrs _prefail _spline1 _splin
> e2 _spline3 if ar_drop==0, nolog

. prvalue, x(claimXterrmid5 0 ha_claim 0 terr_5 0 policy_5 0 regime_5 0 other_5 
> 0 norev_5 0 jtpolity mean jtally 0 caprat mean landcontig 1)

probit: Predictions for arOnset

Confidence intervals by delta method

                                95% Conf. Interval
  Pr(y=1|x):          0.0140   [ 0.0046,    0.0233]
  Pr(y=0|x):          0.9860   [ 0.9767,    0.9954]

    claimXterr~5      ha_claim        terr_5      policy_5      regime_5
x=             0             0             0             0             0

         other_5       norev_5      jtpolity        jtally        caprat
x=             0             0     .38267864             0     .31837406

      landcontig      peaceyrs      _prefail      _spline1      _spline2
x=             1     14.389269     .37833219    -2815.1115    -6155.3894

        _spline3
x=    -9202.6116

. prvalue, x(claimXterrmid5 0 ha_claim 1 terr_5 0 policy_5 0 regime_5 0 other_5 
> 0 norev_5 0 jtpolity mean jtally 0 caprat mean landcontig 1)

probit: Predictions for arOnset

Confidence intervals by delta method

                                95% Conf. Interval
  Pr(y=1|x):          0.0202   [ 0.0052,    0.0351]
  Pr(y=0|x):          0.9798   [ 0.9649,    0.9948]

    claimXterr~5      ha_claim        terr_5      policy_5      regime_5
x=             0             1             0             0             0

         other_5       norev_5      jtpolity        jtally        caprat
x=             0             0     .38267864             0     .31837406

      landcontig      peaceyrs      _prefail      _spline1      _spline2
x=             1     14.389269     .37833219    -2815.1115    -6155.3894

        _spline3
x=    -9202.6116

. prvalue, x(claimXterrmid5 0 ha_claim 0 terr_5 1 policy_5 0 regime_5 0 other_5 
> 0 norev_5 0 jtpolity mean jtally 0 caprat mean landcontig 1)

probit: Predictions for arOnset

Confidence intervals by delta method

                                95% Conf. Interval
  Pr(y=1|x):          0.0091   [-0.0020,    0.0203]
  Pr(y=0|x):          0.9909   [ 0.9797,    1.0020]

    claimXterr~5      ha_claim        terr_5      policy_5      regime_5
x=             0             0             1             0             0

         other_5       norev_5      jtpolity        jtally        caprat
x=             0             0     .38267864             0     .31837406

      landcontig      peaceyrs      _prefail      _spline1      _spline2
x=             1     14.389269     .37833219    -2815.1115    -6155.3894

        _spline3
x=    -9202.6116

. prvalue, x(claimXterrmid5 1 ha_claim 1 terr_5 1 policy_5 0 regime_5 0 other_5 
> 0 norev_5 0 jtpolity mean jtally 0 caprat mean landcontig 1)

probit: Predictions for arOnset

Confidence intervals by delta method

                                95% Conf. Interval
  Pr(y=1|x):          0.0454   [ 0.0226,    0.0683]
  Pr(y=0|x):          0.9546   [ 0.9317,    0.9774]

    claimXterr~5      ha_claim        terr_5      policy_5      regime_5
x=             1             1             1             0             0

         other_5       norev_5      jtpolity        jtally        caprat
x=             0             0     .38267864             0     .31837406

      landcontig      peaceyrs      _prefail      _spline1      _spline2
x=             1     14.389269     .37833219    -2815.1115    -6155.3894

        _spline3
x=    -9202.6116

. 
. 
. 
end of do-file

. log off
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/tjrider76/Dropbox/AR_theorytest/ISQ Replication/Rider2013ISQ
> -Table1-3_Logfile.log
  log type:  text
 paused on:  24 May 2012, 09:53:57
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/tjrider76/Dropbox/AR_theorytest/ISQ Replication/Rider2013ISQ
> -Table1-3_Logfile.log
  log type:  text
resumed on:  24 May 2012, 09:54:11

. do "/var/folders/6x/9tbs_scj51d8ksw4hxlgxkgc0000gn/T//SD06239.000000"

. /*Replication code for estimating Models 7-10 in Table 3*/
. 
. /*Use dta file "Rider2013ISQ_Table3Replication" */
. /*Table 3:  Leadership change and Huth & Allee Territorial Claims */
. /*Raw Leadership change count variable*/
. /*Table 3, Model 7*/
. probit arOnset to_cnt jtpolity jtally caprat landcontig peaceyrs _prefail _spl
> ine1 _spline2 _spline3 if ar_drop ==0

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3154.2334  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -2973.1434  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -2955.6418  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -2955.537  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -2955.5369  

Probit regression                                 Number of obs   =      42363
                                                  LR chi2(10)     =     397.39
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log likelihood = -2955.5369                       Pseudo R2       =     0.0630

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     arOnset |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
      to_cnt |  -.0228552   .0056951    -4.01   0.000    -.0340174    -.011693
    jtpolity |  -.4655775   .0667299    -6.98   0.000    -.5963657   -.3347894
      jtally |   .1277433    .042516     3.00   0.003     .0444135    .2110732
      caprat |   .4074148   .0722809     5.64   0.000     .2657468    .5490828
  landcontig |   .2136388   .0423528     5.04   0.000     .1306288    .2966487
    peaceyrs |  -.0196094   .0131693    -1.49   0.136    -.0454208    .0062021
    _prefail |  -.1487949   .0295604    -5.03   0.000    -.2067322   -.0908577
    _spline1 |  -.0003925   .0001563    -2.51   0.012    -.0006987   -.0000862
    _spline2 |   .0003208   .0000929     3.45   0.001     .0001387    .0005028
    _spline3 |  -.0001022   .0000203    -5.02   0.000    -.0001421   -.0000624
       _cons |  -1.856059   .0643211   -28.86   0.000    -1.982126   -1.729992
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. /*Table 3, Model 8*/
. /*Conroling for Territory w/ Raw Leadership change count variable */
. probit arOnset to_cnt ha_claim jtpolity jtally caprat landcontig peaceyrs _pre
> fail _spline1 _spline2 _spline3 if ar_drop ==0

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3154.2334  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -2971.4375  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -2953.7221  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -2953.6169  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -2953.6168  

Probit regression                                 Number of obs   =      42363
                                                  LR chi2(11)     =     401.23
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log likelihood = -2953.6168                       Pseudo R2       =     0.0636

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     arOnset |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
      to_cnt |  -.0225429   .0056945    -3.96   0.000    -.0337038    -.011382
    ha_claim |   .1163198   .0583628     1.99   0.046     .0019309    .2307087
    jtpolity |  -.4674932   .0668085    -7.00   0.000    -.5984355   -.3365509
      jtally |   .1283179   .0425148     3.02   0.003     .0449905    .2116453
      caprat |   .4075592   .0723258     5.64   0.000     .2658031    .5493152
  landcontig |   .1939071   .0435688     4.45   0.000     .1085139    .2793003
    peaceyrs |  -.0194452   .0131784    -1.48   0.140    -.0452745    .0063841
    _prefail |  -.1501473   .0295665    -5.08   0.000    -.2080966   -.0921979
    _spline1 |  -.0003968   .0001564    -2.54   0.011    -.0007033   -.0000904
    _spline2 |   .0003245   .0000929     3.49   0.000     .0001423    .0005066
    _spline3 |  -.0001034   .0000204    -5.08   0.000    -.0001433   -.0000635
       _cons |  -1.863525   .0644978   -28.89   0.000    -1.989939   -1.737112
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *****************************
. *Arms Race Onset
. *Leadership Change and Regime Type
. *
. *Rivaly and Non-Rivalry Split populations
. *
. *
. *
. ******************************
. /*Table 3, Model 9, Non-Rivalry*/
. probit arOnset to_cnt ha_claim jtpolity jtally caprat landcontig peaceyrs _pre
> fail _spline1 _spline2 _spline3 if ar_drop ==0 & KGDongoing==0, nolog

Probit regression                                 Number of obs   =      39507
                                                  LR chi2(11)     =     325.45
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log likelihood = -2609.9662                       Pseudo R2       =     0.0587

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     arOnset |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
      to_cnt |  -.0187048   .0059549    -3.14   0.002    -.0303761   -.0070334
    ha_claim |  -.0163957   .0794985    -0.21   0.837      -.17221    .1394185
    jtpolity |  -.4615887   .0699135    -6.60   0.000    -.5986166   -.3245609
      jtally |   .1179268   .0465062     2.54   0.011     .0267764    .2090773
      caprat |   .3918352    .079118     4.95   0.000     .2367667    .5469037
  landcontig |   .1946705   .0474752     4.10   0.000     .1016209    .2877202
    peaceyrs |  -.0230173   .0137855    -1.67   0.095    -.0500365    .0040018
    _prefail |  -.1444079   .0328939    -4.39   0.000    -.2088788    -.079937
    _spline1 |  -.0003893   .0001647    -2.36   0.018    -.0007121   -.0000664
    _spline2 |   .0003115    .000098     3.18   0.001     .0001195    .0005035
    _spline3 |  -.0000982   .0000214    -4.59   0.000    -.0001401   -.0000562
       _cons |  -1.847182   .0667886   -27.66   0.000    -1.978085   -1.716278
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. /*Table 3, Model 9, Rivalry*/
. probit arOnset to_cnt ha_claim jtpolity jtally caprat landcontig peaceyrs _pre
> fail _spline1 _spline2 _spline3 if ar_drop ==0 & KGDongoing==1, nolog

Probit regression                                 Number of obs   =       2856
                                                  LR chi2(11)     =      64.49
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log likelihood = -332.63551                       Pseudo R2       =     0.0884

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     arOnset |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
      to_cnt |  -.0555293   .0192028    -2.89   0.004    -.0931661   -.0178924
    ha_claim |   .2898071   .1064489     2.72   0.006     .0811712     .498443
    jtpolity |  -.3723323   .2425797    -1.53   0.125    -.8477798    .1031153
      jtally |   .2547637   .1115297     2.28   0.022     .0361694    .4733579
      caprat |   .4457897   .1946363     2.29   0.022     .0643096    .8272698
  landcontig |   .1445835   .1223123     1.18   0.237    -.0951442    .3843111
    peaceyrs |   .0248486   .0479099     0.52   0.604    -.0690531    .1187502
    _prefail |    -.22284   .0723636    -3.08   0.002      -.36467   -.0810099
    _spline1 |  -.0002979   .0005389    -0.55   0.580    -.0013541    .0007584
    _spline2 |   .0003217   .0003259     0.99   0.324     -.000317    .0009605
    _spline3 |  -.0001129   .0000811    -1.39   0.164    -.0002719    .0000461
       _cons |  -2.085135   .2631012    -7.93   0.000    -2.600804   -1.569466
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. 
end of do-file

. log close
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/tjrider76/Dropbox/AR_theorytest/ISQ Replication/Rider2013ISQ
> -Table1-3_Logfile.log
  log type:  text
 closed on:  24 May 2012, 09:54:21
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
